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Last updatedFebruary 23, 2026

Emerging trends in the AI industry

The key developments that are shaping AI right now, curated by a Senior AI Engineer.

Here now1–2 years3–5+ years
Here now
1–2 years
3–5+ years
Technology radar: AI technologies by time horizon
TechnologyTime horizonKey statSummary
AI coding agentsHere now90% enterprise adoptionAI programming tools are now standard across engineering teams.
AI video generationHere nowVeo 3, Sora 2, SeedanceProduction-quality video is now possible from text prompts.
Enterprise AI platformsHere now$13B marketFull-stack AI platforms are dominating enterprise procurement.
RobotaxisHere now14M Waymo trips/yearAutonomous ride-hailing is operating at scale in major US cities, with Waymo expanding rapidly.
AR glassesHere now7M Meta sold in 2025Consumer AR glasses have crossed into mainstream adoption.
Autonomous trucks1–2 yearsHighway corridors expandingLong-haul autonomous trucking is scaling on fixed highway routes.
Humanoid robots1–2 yearsFactory pilots underwayHumanoid robots are being deployed in factories and used for narrow tasks.
World models1–2 yearsNext frontier for AIModels that can understand physics and spatial reasoning are advancing rapidly.
Custom AI chips1–2 yearsApple, Google, AmazonBig tech is designing proprietary silicon to reduce its dependency on NVIDIA.
AI hardware (Jony Ive)1–2 yearsStealth → reveal soonAI-first consumer hardware is being developed by Apple's former designer.
Quantum computing3–5+ yearsCommercial in ~5 yearsFault-tolerant quantum computers for commercial use remain years away.
Fusion power3–5+ yearsFirst plants by ~2030Fusion energy could be used to power data centres, but it's still pre-commercial.
Space data centres3–5+ yearsEarly R&D phaseThis area is being actively explored by startups, but it's incredibly early days.
Full global autonomous driving3–5+ yearsRegulatory + infra gapsWorldwide autonomous driving depends on regulation and sufficient training data, which isn't there yet.

The big picture

1.

The infrastructure arms race is intensifying

Companies are spending more on AI data centres than oil infrastructure for the first time in history. Nvidia is the clear winner, but everyone from chip startups to fusion energy companies are racing to meet the insatiable demand for AI.

2.

AI agents are finally going mainstream

Coding assistants have proven that AI agents can deliver real value, with enterprises in the early stages of deploying them across their business. The big tech companies are working to standardise how agents talk to each other and access external tools.

3.

Governments can’t agree on how to regulate AI

China is adding new safeguards around chatbots and mental health, while Europe is loosening its AI Act to stay competitive with the US. Safety incidents and copyright lawsuits are forcing regulators to act, but there’s no global consensus emerging.

4.

Defence tech is having its moment

Autonomous drones and AI-powered fighter jets are no longer science fiction. Defence startups are attracting record investment as governments realise that they need to modernise their militaries fast, especially with war raging in Europe.

  • OpenAI finalises a $100 billion deal, now valued at over $850 billion

0 new trend added · 1 trends updated

$580B
Data centres
surpasses oil investment
14M
Waymo trips
paid rides per year
$850B
OpenAI
valuation
32%
Claude share
enterprise market
$30B
Anduril
valuation
4GW
Nuclear deals
for AI data centres

Anthropic is now the top enterprise provider for AI, beating OpenAI

Enterprise LLM market share, 2025

Anthropic
32%
OpenAI
25%
Google
18%
Other
13%
Meta
12%

Data centre spending overtakes oil investment for the first time

Global investment in 2025, $B

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